Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 4.666595 5.580317 6.596710 7.806975 9.204441 10.762878 12.627655
2025-02-23 3.182440 4.302254 5.679237 7.480121 9.754423 12.510819 16.081447
2025-03-02 2.266109 3.412407 4.949521 7.124840 10.081070 13.910207 19.187709
2025-03-09 1.767423 2.923848 4.594260 7.119921 10.765115 15.745870 22.955189
2025-03-16 1.422056 2.562855 4.324523 7.147925 11.440274 17.577795 26.833511
2025-03-23 1.155852 2.258048 4.069108 7.130161 12.006122 19.263976 30.608779
2025-03-30 0.901608 1.911816 3.678380 6.824941 12.069407 20.182094 33.301173
2025-04-06 0.750530 1.714082 3.495537 6.818405 12.578660 21.787919 37.115442
2025-04-13 0.623495 1.532051 3.305429 6.762920 12.983765 23.241368 40.776360
2025-04-20 0.568402 1.484531 3.354444 7.133819 14.140389 25.981366 46.655460
2025-04-27 0.506690 1.408205 3.333127 7.365800 15.065895 28.395818 52.152328
2025-05-04 0.463831 1.365255 3.370966 7.711418 16.221125 31.270867 58.582959
2025-05-11 0.394278 1.243662 3.228766 7.691992 16.716385 33.076122 63.390886
2025-05-18 0.318915 1.086829 2.981553 7.422664 16.705554 33.984285 66.717307
2025-05-25 0.253626 0.937435 2.722107 7.086906 16.521251 34.551860 69.466851
2025-06-01 0.217213 0.860873 2.622708 7.087746 17.010399 36.390075 74.595208
2025-06-08 0.187658 0.796443 2.541550 7.117563 17.558277 38.370704 80.094058
2025-06-15 0.160668 0.731597 2.446692 7.100505 18.000482 40.171091 85.354860
2025-06-22 0.128319 0.635722 2.246815 6.796591 17.780528 40.645040 88.126298
2025-06-29 0.110243 0.586439 2.169729 6.790148 18.222839 42.470512 93.589219
2025-07-06 0.093585 0.536165 2.079146 6.734884 18.544940 44.066723 98.686982
2025-07-13 0.088898 0.535653 2.143605 7.104468 19.896935 47.884234 108.373635
2025-07-20 0.081501 0.520225 2.157272 7.335629 20.936076 51.101023 117.011732